NQโ–ฒ +1.24%
ESโ–ฒ +0.87%
GCโ–ผ -0.33%
CLโ–ฒ +2.10%
BTCโ–ฒ +3.41%
EUR/USDโ–ผ -0.12%
TODAY'S BIASโ— BULLISH
NQโ–ฒ +1.24%
ESโ–ฒ +0.87%
GCโ–ผ -0.33%
CLโ–ฒ +2.10%
BTCโ–ฒ +3.41%
EUR/USDโ–ผ -0.12%
TODAY'S BIASโ— BULLISH

Quantitative Analysis ยท Daily Bias ยท 63% Win Rate

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63%
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10 wins out of 16 tracked sessions
+880
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Cumulated since launch
10 / 2
W  /  L
Plus 4 breakeven sessions
5:1
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Cumulative NQ Points
Apr 10 โ€” May 14, 2026
+880 pts cumulated over 16 sessions.
Cumulative pts
Win
Loss
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Date Bias Conviction Result Est. pts Notes
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* Apr 22 (no bias), Apr 25โ€“May 1 (model migration week) and exam skip days excluded from win rate. Points are estimated based on TP levels vs. entry trigger midpoint.

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// Wednesday, April 29, 2025 ยท NY Session

Daily Bias โ€” NQ Futures

BULLISH
Conviction
75%
Published at 8:15 AM EST
Last updated: 9:02 AM EST
NQ Overnight
โ–ฒ +0.84%
ES Overnight
โ–ฒ +0.61%
VIX
18.4 โ†“
Macro Data
GDP Prelim 8:30 AM EST
01 / Sweep Zone
๐ŸŒŠ

Liquidity Sweep Zone

Area where the market is likely to sweep liquidity before moving in the bias direction.

High Sweep Zone19,420 โ€“ 19,445
Low Sweep Zone19,280 โ€“ 19,300
Targeted LiquidityEqual Lows Apr 29
TypeBSL (Buy-Side Liq.)
โšก The market should sweep the equal highs at 19,420 before revealing its true direction. Be patient โ€” don't chase the initial impulse.
02 / Trigger & Target
๐ŸŽฏ

Trigger & Target

Signal confirming bias activation and session price target.

Long Trigger19,310 โ€“ 19,325
Confirmation5min close above 19,330
Target 119,480
Target 2 (extension)19,560
Estimated R:R1 : 3.2
๐ŸŽฏ Wait for a clean reaction at the trigger before entering. A bullish BOS on the 5-minute chart confirms the setup.
03 / Invalidation
โ›”

Invalidation Level

If these levels are broken, the bias is cancelled. No trades in the intended direction.

Bullish Bias InvalidationBelow 19,220
Required Close15min close under 19,220
If invalidated โ†’ biasBEARISH toward 19,050
Suggested Stop Loss19,200 (structure)
โ›” A 15-minute candle close below 19,220 fully invalidates the bullish scenario. Flip to bearish bias targeting 19,050.
Scenario A โ€” Primary
๐Ÿ“ˆ Bullish Continuation
Market opens gap up, sweeps equal highs at 19,420, clean rejection, then consolidation 9:30โ€“10:00 AM. Long entry on trigger at 19,315 after bullish BOS. Target T1: 19,480 ยท T2: 19,560.
Probability: 75%
Scenario B โ€” Alternative
๐Ÿ“‰ Rejection & Reversal
Market tests 19,420 but fails to break above. 15-min close below 19,220 โ†’ bias flips bearish. Short toward 19,050 (HTF support + weekly FVG). Do not force longs if structure is broken.
Probability: 25%
// Analyst Note

The macro context remains favorable for bulls this morning with the GDP Prelim printing at 8:30 AM. If the number beats expectations, expect an immediate push toward 19,440โ€“19,460 before a potential rejection. The key today is patience โ€” the market will likely make a false move in pre-market before revealing its true direction around 9:45โ€“10:00 AM EST. Manage your risk, wait for the clean setup.

โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This bias is a structured analysis for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk of capital loss. Manage your risk at all times.